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Feature Article

Fighting with bears

I have to hand it TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts‘ Jason Cimpl. Yesterday, his morning alert to his traders was titled "The Biggest Story You Didn’t Read Yesterday".

And I’ll admit, I missed this story. But Jason, ever on the lookout for events that can lead to solid profits for his readers, was all over it.

Of course the biggest story yesterday, which was the failed auction in China, received no coverage from the U.S. media. China’s finance ministry could not come up with enough bids in yesterday’s $4 billion 1-year auction. Over the past year there has been much debate as to whether or not China’s yuan is undervalued. Speculators have slowly priced in a currency adjustment, but yesterday’s auction could indicate that the adjustment will happen this year.

The PBC has gradually raised reserve requirements on Chinese banks for the past year and it is widely expected that the bank will raise interest rates for the first time in three years this quarter. In that environment banks favor long-term debt, which typically have higher yields, but the notion that a 1-year auction did not receive enough bids is bizarre.

TheStockAdvisors.com

China Natural Gas is currently trading at only 10.9 times trailing earnings, yet the company grew net income in 2008 by 66%. I expect growth in 2009 will be only marginally higher than in 2008 due to the severe drop in gas prices. But the fact that the company could grow at all after a 70% decline in natural gas prices is a testament to its growth prospects and solid operations. And if natural gas prices rise in 2010 as I expect, than look for China Natural Gas to reap big profits. China Natural Gas should grow earnings by more than 25% in 2010, which would mean the stock is currently trading at 9.3-times forward earnings. This is very inexpensive – Chesapeake Energy is trading at 11.6-times analyst estimates for 2010, yet is forecast to have essentially flat earnings growth. China Natural Gas is a buy here. The stock should trade at least 25% higher in the next few months and push past its October 2009 high of $14.81. I expect to increase my target price in January. This agriculture sector has been red hot, and China fertilizer companies like China Green Agriculture have...
FEI Company is the leading provider of the highly sophisticated instruments and systems used in nanotechnology research, development, and manufacture. Its products include scanning and transmission electron microscopes, focused ion beam systems, and dual beam systems that combine the two on a single platform. Other FEI products include ion mass spectrometers, nano profilometers, and software systems to help maximize semiconductor production yields. Research labs and industrial customers generate 44% of FEI’s revenues. The electronics industry, and in particular semiconductor manufacturers, contribute 19%, and servicing and component sales account for around 24%. These core businesses generate solid if unspectacular growth of around 10% a year. Greater growth potential, however, lies in the life sciences area, which currently accounts for some 13 percent of revenues. Increasingly the pharmaceutical and biotech industries are focusing on three-dimensional structural biology, including the study of biological pathways and cellular structures. These areas offer fertile markets for FEI’s products. Other industries looking to tap nanotech’s potential also could be powerful engines of growth for FEI in the longer run. The mining and energy markets are two prime examples. In mining, automated mineralogy using FEI’s systems promises to speed up the discovery of...

Jutia Group

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Source: The Gold Report


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