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Posts tagged with: Graham Corp

It is a strange sight to see the Dow Industrials trading at 6,700. That’s still a level from 1997. And it still indicates that people don’t want to own stocks. At this point, it seems to be as much about available capital for investment as a willingness to invest. 

Valuations are low, the Dow is trading with a p/e of around 20. But that’s still not as low as it’s been during past recessions.

GHM | comment
 

They say what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger. I keep that in mind as I watch the Dow Industrials repeatedly test the 8,000 support level. 

We’ve watched buyers continue to step in at the 8,000 range. That clearly makes this support level stronger. The recent sell-off at Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) failed to send the Dow below 8,000. Today, it’s GE’s (NYSE:GE) turn.

 

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It’s been my contention that oil prices will remain range-bound for the foreseeable future. And the 60 Minutes story I relayed on Monday supports that belief. If oil’s move to $147 was based on more speculation (and manipulation), than it was on true supply and demand issues, then it’s going to be a while before enough demand returns to push oil prices significantly higher.

GHM | comment
 

 


60 Minutes ran an excellent piece on the run in oil prices from 2005 – 2008. And guess what? It was all Enron’s fault!

 

GHM | comment
 

On Wednesday, after a few down days in a row, we tried to sift through the various clues to decide whether the selling we saw was investors taking some profits, or whether we were seeing the start of a more serious sell-off based on lowered earnings guidance and the prospect of unemployment running higher than the current consensus of 9%. 

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It's getting rough out there in the stock market. A quick look back on June and I count 9 up days and 13 down days. That doesn't sound too bad. Except that those 13 down days accounted for a 144 point drop on the S&P 500.
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